tariffs, Inflation
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Trump, inflation
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Critics of President Trump's tariff policies have been waiting for the import taxes to raise the inflation rate. That effect may be beginning.
U.S. equity funds again came under selling pressure through the week to July 16, dampened by worries over President Donald Trump's tariff rhetoric and the buildup in inflationary pressure, potentially keeping the Federal Reserve cautious about a premature rate cut.
But, for now at least, a steady if unspectacular job market and a stock market hitting new highs appears to be enough to keep consumers spending. Given that consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy’s overall output, that is a good omen.
Consumer sentiment ticked higher in July, marking two consecutive months of improved shopper attitudes as businesses navigated President Donald Trump’s latest tariff threats targeting dozens of countries. The fresh reading matched economists’ expectations.
The prices for food at home rose 0.3 in June, while food away from home, meaning restaurants, ticked up 0.4% on a monthly basis. Notably, the Trump administration has recently imposed a 17% tariff on Mexican tomatoes. The energy index edged up 0.9% in June, as gasoline prices jumped 1% over the month but shed 7.9% for the year.
The steady decline of the dollar under President Donald Trump has led to a lot of hyperventilating about its role as the global reserve currency and threats posed by alternatives like the euro or whatever the BRICs have cooking.
Egg prices cooled significantly in June, deviating from an overall rise in prices. The price of eggs climbed 27% over the year ending in June, which marked a slowdown from 41% year-over-year growth in May. Under Trump, inflation has defied doomsday predictions and helped to propel sturdy economic performance.
Higher tariffs put in place by the Trump White House this year have started to increase inflation, and these effects are likely to increase in the coming months, New York Fed President John Williams said Wednesday.