Methods Three models for yearly time series predictions were built: autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), simple exponential smoothing (SES), and Holt's double expansional smoothing (HDES) ...

Thanks to its very simple recursive computing scheme, exponential smoothing has become a popular technique to forecast time series. In this work, we show the advantages of its multivariate version and ...

A modification is proposed to forecasting systems employing exponential smoothing whereby the response rate is varied and made to depend on the value of a tracking signal. In a simple system, this is ...