What the analytics predict for Georgia vs. Kentucky in this Week 6 college football game from an expert model that projects scores.

All four media members predict that Georgia will win. Half of the media predicts Georgia will cover the 20 1/2-point spread. Nobody is predicting the 48 1/2-point over/under to go over.

Kentucky enters with little momentum of its own, having gone just 2-14 in its last 16 SEC games dating back to its previous trip to Athens, a 51-13 defeat in 2023. Both of the Wildcats' conference wins in that span have come on the road, but ending a nearly 16-year drought against Georgia remains a tall task.

The Bulldogs' strength is in their rush defense, allowing just 3.1 yards per attempt. They allowed just 13 points through their first 2 games as well. For Kentucky, its strength is running the ball, as Boley has just a 53.5% completion rate on the season. Expect that edge to go to Georgia, especially at home.

The Georgia Bulldogs are just days away from their fifth game of the 2025 regular season as the team prepares to host the Kentucky Wildcats in Athens. The Bulldogs have won 15 straight against Kentucky and are looking to get back in the win column following a disappointing loss to the Alabama Crimson Tide last week.

Our Kentucky vs. Georgia predictions expect the Bulldogs to be at their best after falling to Alabama last weekend.

The No. 10 Georgia Bulldogs (3-1) take on a fellow SEC foe when they host the Kentucky Wildcats (2-2) on Saturday, October 4, 2025 at Sanford Stadium. To find out who we project to win this matchup, see the rest of this piece.

Fortunately, the Georgia pass defense is very bad itself, allowing opponents to succeed on 47.5% of their pass plays (116th) with a .17 EPA/pass (112th). The Bulldog secondary is still searching for answers as they are consistently beaten in coverage, but also allow too many yards after catch.

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Sun Belt opponents match up when the James Madison Dukes (3-1) and the Georgia State Panthers (1-3) play on Saturday, October 4, 2025 at Center Parc Stadium. For our projection on which side will come out on top, keep reading.

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